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Polls

Vancouver B.C. (31 August 2017) The by-election race for Vancouver’s vacant City Council seat is the Greens’ to lose. And lose they may to the Non-Partisan Association or Vision Vancouver, despite both being well back in the poll. NPA support is composed largely of older voters who are more likely to cast a ballot. Vision is well known for its organized get-out-the-vote volunteers, a consistent advantage for the governing party over several election cycles. Either party, currently vying for Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (1 August 2017) Just over half of Vancouverites (54%) have been affected in some way by British Columbia’s wildfires according to a Justason Market Intelligence poll conducted in late July. Forty-six (46%) of City residents have not been affected. East Side residents are significantly more likely than West Side residents to have been affected by the wildfires (61% vs. 47%). Air quality concerns prevail among the plurality as the most common impact. One-quarter (24%) say friends or Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (28 July 2017) The Green Party or Non-Partisan Association (NPA) are poised to pick up a seat in this fall’s by-election to fill the Vancouver City Council seat vacated by Geoff Meggs, who is now Premier John Horgan’s chief of staff. If the by-election were held today, just 17% of decided by-election voters would support a Vision Vancouver candidate, while the Green Party and NPA would compete for plurality support. Declared OneCity candidate Judy Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (26 July 2017) Vancouver residents are divided when it comes short-term rentals (STRs) on platforms like Airbnb. Residents’ are just as ambivalent when it comes to the recently approved STR regulations. With a view to offering 1,000 additional long-term rental units for local residents, Vancouver City Council has approved a regulatory framework that would prohibit STRs (aka home sharing) in secondary suites, laneway homes, and investment properties. Assuming the regulations pass this fall, STRs will be legal only in residents’ Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (7 May 2017) – This race appears to be too close to call. In the final BC election poll in the Justason / zinc tank experiment, we find the B.C. Liberals either two points ahead or two points behind the BC NDP. The exception would be our telephone surveying, completed May 1 and 2, which finds the BC Liberals leading. Relying on our mixed mode methodology, which combines online and automatic telephone interviewing, BC Liberal support among Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (5 May 2017) – When pollsters aren’t running polls, there’s a good chance they’re geeking out. About polling. On Tuesday, May 9, we will know the result of the BC Provincial Election. During this campaign period, experimenting with an online data collection platform (see previous posts), and now IVR, Justason Market Intelligence and zinc tank have teamed up to offer our insights on B.C.’s general election.  Brian Singh, zinc tank’s principal, and I got on the phone to discuss Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (5 May 2017) – Yesterday, we reported that the BC Liberals appear to have secured a lead in the race to form the next provincial government. In that poll, the BC Liberals were the choice of 39% of decided voters; the BC NDP held 34% and the BC Greens, 23%. How confident are we that this will be the popular outcome? We are confident that we captured public opinion as of our May 1 and Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (4 May 2017) – The BC Liberals are leading among B.C.’s decided voters according to the latest polling from Justason Market Intelligence and zinc tank. (Polling this wave was mixed mode, combining online and telephone interviewing.) BC Liberals are up a point (to 39%) since late April, while NDP support has declined three points (to 34%). Over the same period, BC Green support has grown to 23%. WILL THE BC LIBERALS WIN THE POPULAR VOTE? Not Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (1 May 2017) – Our neighbours support the BC NDP by an edge BC voters tell pollsters. The pollsters asked B.C. residents, “With the provincial election on May 9, 2017, thinking of your neighbours, which party do you think they will vote for?” Perhaps reacting to a well covered Mainstreet Research poll reporting a substantial lead for the BC NDP, somewhat more voters now tell pollsters they believe their neighbours support the BC NDP. BC Liberals had Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (30 Apr 2017) – This election is now firmly in too-close-to-call territory. Just one week after our last poll, an already close race is even closer, pollsters at Justason Market Intelligence / zinc tank find. The BC Liberals have closed the province-wide gap with the BC NDP (from 3 points favouring NDP to 1 point favouring Liberals). BC NDP now garners support from 37% of B.C.’s decided voters. The BC Liberals, meanwhile, continue to attract solid support, up Read More
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Kamloops B.C. (28 Apr 2017, 10 a.m.) – The Kamloops Voter Society (KVS) retained Justason Market Intelligence Inc. (JMI) to conduct an election poll for the Kamloops-North Thompson Riding. This survey was conducted between April 21 and 24th 2017, and provides a snapshot of voter preference in the riding at that time. The KVS believes in the importance of all citizens participating in the electoral process. Democracy is a privilege that needs to be worked at. Elections Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (27 Apr 2017) – BC voters think their neighbours are more inclined to vote BC Liberal than they are, according to the latest poll from Justason Market Intelligence / zinc tank. Forty-two percent (42%) of decided voters told pollsters their neighbours will support the BC Liberals. By comparison, 36% will, themselves, support the BC Liberals, a meaningful six-percentage point gap. This gap widens among voters under 55 years and among men. On the other hand, Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (24 Apr 2017) – The BC NDP are directionally ahead of the BC Liberals, in a poll of BC voters completed late last week. Currently, support for the BC NDP stands at 39% of decided voters, while the BC Liberals are only marginally behind at 36%. Well back, but with a comparatively strong showing, one-in-five decided voters (19%) support the BC Greens. Do these findings point to a potential BC NDP government? Not necessarily. BC Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (22 Apr 2017) – With less than three weeks to go, BC NDP leader John Horgan and BC Liberal leader Premier Christy Clark are tied as the leader voters most trust to manage the British Columbia economy. We asked B.C. residents: “Among the BC provincial political party leaders in this election, which one do you TRUST the most to manage the economy?” Fully 36% of B.C. residents have no opinion about which party leader they Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (21 Apr 2017) – In a survey fielded April 12-15, 2017, we asked British Columbians, “Which party do you most trust to manage BC’s economy?” Three-in-ten BCers (31%) could not offer an opinion. Among those with an opinion, it is a close call between the BC Liberals and the BC NDP (both at 37%) in a category that should probably be owned by the BC Liberals, as it has over over past election cycles. However, Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (7 Dec 2015) – Most British Columbia residents (63%) are aware that Prime Minister Trudeau promised to launch an immediate public review of the environmental assessment process, including the National Energy Board. Regionally, awareness is highest among residents of the Sunshine Coast (75%), Metro Vancouver and Victoria Capital Region (66% each).   Most B.C. residents (68%) agree that the assessment of the Kinder Morgan expanded pipeline and tanker proposal should be halted until Trudeau’s promised Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (12 Oct 2015) – The Liberals can thank strategic voters for their position in a tight race with the NDP in the City of Vancouver. The strategic, anti-Conservative, vote is the predominant reason the Liberals are currently tied with the NDP in Vancouver’s federal election race. While seven-in-ten (69 per cent) decided voters will support their party of choice, three-in-ten (30 per cent) will vote strategically, to defeat most commonly a Conservative candidate. In other words, nearly Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (10 Oct 2015) – The NDP and Liberals are in a dead heat in the City of Vancouver, according to the most recent federal election poll from Justason Market Intelligence. As we enter final stretch of the longest federal election in modern Canadian history, 35 per cent of City of Vancouver’s decided voters will support their NDP candidate, while 34 per cent will support their Liberal candidate. Support for the ruling Conservatives stands at 22 per cent in Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (20 Sep 2015) – Increasing Canada’s military involvement in the Middle East and the government’s anti-terror legislation (Bill C-51) are decidedly not important to Metro Vancouver residents. Among a list of election platforms and issues, protecting the environment is a top election issue for six-in-ten Metro Vancouver residents (59 per cent) followed by protecting personal freedoms (without intrusive government monitoring) and balancing the budget (47 per cent each). Other election issues for Metro Vancouverites are affordable post-secondary education and ensuring Read More
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Vancouver B.C. (20 Sep 2015) – Well over half (58 per cent) of Metro Vancouver residents would “definitely not” support the Conservative party in the upcoming election. Among a list of potential reasons not to support the Conservatives, the anti‐terror law (Bill C‐51) is cited most frequently, followed by inattention to climate change (57 per cent). The government’s economic record (37 per cent), violation of election laws (35 per cent), and support for Northern Gateway pipelines and Read More
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