{"id":4085,"date":"2014-10-29T17:17:16","date_gmt":"2014-10-30T00:17:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/?p=4085"},"modified":"2022-11-17T02:08:51","modified_gmt":"2022-11-17T02:08:51","slug":"vision-council-with-smaller-majority-likely","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/?p=4085","title":{"rendered":"Vision Council likely, while balance of power up for grabs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vancouver B.C. (29 Oct 2014) \u2013 Adriane Carr of the Green Party receives more support for her council seat than candidates for governing Vision Vancouver and Non-Partisan Association (NPA). NPA&#8217;s George Affleck, a distant second to Carr, still outperforms&nbsp;most Vision candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Although the Vision Vancouver incumbents do not top the list of preferred candidates, they may be poised to hold the&nbsp;majority in council, with the likely re-election of Heather Deal, Tim Stevenson, Raymond Louie, Andrea Reimer, and Kerry Jang. Assuming&nbsp;the mayor is also re-elected, Vision Vancouver would have the needed six (of 11) positions for a majority.<\/p>\n<p>In a race for the balance of power, Green, NPA and Vision all are potential factors. Vision may grow its numbers by re-electing Geoff Meggs and adding Niki Sharma. Incumbent NPA councillor Elizabeth Ball may be joined by newcomers Ian Robertson or&nbsp;Melissa De Genova. Green, which has already seen a meaningful growth in Adriane Carr&#8217;s popularity, may add&nbsp;Pete Fry or Cleta Brown&nbsp;to its&nbsp;ranks.<\/p>\n<p>The Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE) are unlikely to elect candidates to Vancouver&#8217;s City Council.<\/p>\n<h3>Summary of results<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Election likely:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Adriane Carr (Green) 52%<\/li>\n<li>George Affleck (NPA) 34%<\/li>\n<li>Heather Deal (Vision) 34%<\/li>\n<li>Tim Stevenson (Vision) 32%<\/li>\n<li>Raymond Louie (Vision) 32%<\/li>\n<li>Andrea Reimer (Vision) 31%<\/li>\n<li>Kerry Jang (Vision) 29%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Election possible:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Elizabeth Ball (NPA) 27%<\/li>\n<li>Pete Fry (Green) 27%<\/li>\n<li>Geoff Meggs (Vision) 26%<\/li>\n<li>Cleta Brown (Green) 25%<\/li>\n<li>Niki Sharma (Vision) 24%<\/li>\n<li>Ian Robertson (NPA) 23%<\/li>\n<li>Melissa De Genova (NPA) 23%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Election unlikely:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Gregory Baker (NPA) 22%<\/li>\n<li>Suzanne Scott (NPA) 21%<\/li>\n<li>Rob McDowell (NPA) 19%<\/li>\n<li>Tim Louis (COPE) 17%<\/li>\n<li>Jennifer O&#8217;Keefe (COPE) 15%<\/li>\n<li>Tony Tang (Vision) 15%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Research Notes<\/h2>\n<address><em>These are the findings of a Justason Market Intelligence Inc. poll of 327&nbsp;adult residents of the City of Vancouver. Justason\u2019s&nbsp;panel was the sample source. Data were weighted to match the regional distributions and demographic characteristics of the City according to the most recent census.<\/em><\/address>\n<address>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Dates of research: <\/strong><em>&nbsp;October 12-18, 2014<\/em><\/li>\n<li><strong>Sample: <\/strong><em>327 Vancouver City citizens&nbsp;18 years and older including 264 decided voters who selected council candidates<\/em><\/li>\n<li><strong>Methodology:&nbsp;<\/strong><em>Online among JMI panel members<\/em><\/li>\n<li><strong>Margin of error:&nbsp;<\/strong><em>&nbsp;A probability sample of 327 reports a margin of error of \u00b15.4 percentage points, 95% of the time. On 264 decided council voters,&nbsp;<\/em><em>\u00b16.0.<\/em><\/li>\n<li><strong>Research Sponsor:<\/strong><em>&nbsp;&nbsp;Justason Market Intelligence Inc.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/address>\n<address>&nbsp;<\/address>\n<address><strong>For more information contact:<\/strong><\/address>\n<address><strong>Barb Justason, Principal<\/strong><\/address>\n<address><strong>Justason Market Intelligence Inc.<\/strong><em><br \/>\nDirect:&nbsp;+1 604 783 4165<br \/>\nEmail: Barb@JustasonMI.com<br \/>\nweb:&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/\"><em>JustasonMI.com<\/em><\/a><\/address>\n<address><em>twitter: @barbjustason<\/em><\/address>\n<address>&nbsp;<\/address>\n<address>&#8211; 30 &#8211;<\/address>\n<address>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/address>\n<address>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/address>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vancouver B.C. (29 Oct 2014) \u2013 Adriane Carr of the Green Party receives more support for her council seat than candidates for governing Vision Vancouver and Non-Partisan Association (NPA). NPA&#8217;s George Affleck, a distant second to Carr, still outperforms&nbsp;most Vision candidates. Although the Vision Vancouver incumbents do not top the list of preferred candidates, they [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[159,3,270,1,9],"tags":[272,41,273,42,274,275,73,62,4,5,30,10,11],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4085"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4085"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4085\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6409,"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4085\/revisions\/6409"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.justasonmi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}